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Market Sizing Calculator

Build a market sizing estimate step by step — population, segments, and assumptions — with the math done for you.

Estimate

33.00M

US population (330.00M) × % in target age range (0.4) × % who buy per year (0.25)

Practice timed market sizing with an AI interviewer →

How to answer a market sizing question

Pick a structure, state your assumptions out loud, do the arithmetic in round numbers, and sanity-check the result. Interviewers care about the logic and the explicit assumptions, not the exact final number. This calculator handles the math so you can focus on the structure.

Top-down vs. bottom-up

Top-down starts from a big number — a population or total market — and narrows it with percentages. Bottom-up starts from a single unit — one store, one customer — and multiplies up. Use whichever has data you can reason about, and mention the other as a cross-check.

Worked example

How many coffees are sold per day in a city of 1M? Start from 1,000,000 people × 60% coffee drinkers × 1.5 cups/day = 900,000 cups/day. Each factor is an assumption you can defend or adjust — exactly what the calculator above lets you do.

Frequently asked questions

How do you answer a market sizing question?
Pick a structure (top-down from population or bottom-up from units), state your assumptions out loud, do the arithmetic in round numbers, and sanity-check the result. The calculator handles the math so you can focus on the assumptions.
What's the difference between top-down and bottom-up?
Top-down starts from a big number (population, total market) and narrows with percentages. Bottom-up starts from a small unit (one store, one customer) and multiplies up. Interviewers care about the logic, not the exact answer.
Is this free?
Yes, fully free and no login required.